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BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:0
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YBN Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Stray · 2 games
0%
Bane
Bane
Vovapain · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
Retsu · 1 game
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
lowkez · 1 game
0%
Legion Commander
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
Stray · 1 game
100%
Muerta
Muerta
Retsu · 1 game
100%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
DkFogas · 1 game
0%

YBN Team

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
good_mma · 1 game
0%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
EARTHQ · 1 game
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Limitless · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Limitless · 1 game
100%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Limitless · 1 game
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
EARTHQ · 1 game
0%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
ybicanoooobov · 1 game
100%
Jakiro
Jakiro
good_mma · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
473 picks · 447 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
440 picks · 504 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
431 picks · 200 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
329 picks · 579 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 404 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
286 picks · 604 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 179 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% YBN Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total71% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:9
Stray Team 38%YBN Team 62%
The model gave 62% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 27:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaRetsu
44% · 108 games58% · 98 games
EnigmaLimitless
Enigma
Sand King
Sand KingDkFogas
53% · 181 game54% · 96 games
Troll Warlordnesfeer
Troll Warlord
Slardar
SlardarStray
45% · 76 games47% · 271 game
Pangolierybicanoooobov
Pangolier
Rubick
Rubicklowkez
45% · 144 games55% · 66 games
Miranagood_mma
Mirana
Silencer
SilencerVovapain
49% · 60 games49% · 38 games
RikiEARTHQ
Riki
Game 2prediction missed26:21
Stray Team 36%YBN Team 64%
The model gave 64% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 36:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverRetsu
48% · 111 games54% · 9 games
Juggernautnesfeer
Juggernaut
Brewmaster
BrewmasterStray
52% · 75 games48% · 73 games
DawnbreakerLimitless
Dawnbreaker
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderDkFogas
75% · 4 games53% · 179 games
RubickEARTHQ
Rubick
Abaddon
AbaddonVovapain
42% · 41 game53% · 24 games
Huskarybicanoooobov
Huskar
Dark Willow
Dark Willowlowkez
46% · 115 games55% · 61 game
Leshracgood_mma
Leshrac
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 71%
Series resultStray Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2