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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YBN Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Necrophos
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 7 games
29%
Sniper
Sniper
Stray · 7 games
43%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 7 games
29%
Tusk
Tusk
Vovapain · 7 games
57%
Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Goodoq · 4 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Stray · 4 games
75%

YBN Team

Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 4 games
25%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
0%
Alchemist
Alchemist
nesfeer · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Shishak · 3 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shishak · 3 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
balod9l · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
500 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
393 picks · 168 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
375 picks · 170 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 493 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 310 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
308 picks · 284 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 492 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
277 picks · 358 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 25%
Hero pool strength57% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:35
Stray Team 46%YBN Team 54%
The model gave 54% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 32:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezzvёzd
53% · 245 gameslittle data
Chaos Knightnesfeer
Chaos Knight
Razor
RazorStray
53% · 84 games49% · 256 games
Pangoliertakizawa
Pangolier
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDkFogas
48% · 120 games52% · 306 games
Ember Spiritybicanoooobov
Ember Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireАнатолий Злотников
54% · 265 games43% · 181 game
Dark WillowEARTHQ
Dark Willow
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanFervian
53% · 104 games45% · 75 games
Winter Wyvernbalod9l
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct29:41
Stray Team 45%YBN Team 55%
The model gave 55% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 43:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
Slarkzvёzd
55% · 47 games52% · 89 games
Terrorbladenesfeer
Terrorblade
Axe
AxeDkFogas
53% · 214 games42% · 67 games
Brewmastertakizawa
Brewmaster
Death Prophet
Death ProphetStray
57% · 25 games48% · 180 games
Windrangerybicanoooobov
Windranger
Techies
TechiesFervian
51% · 202 games52% · 163 games
RubickEARTHQ
Rubick
Disruptor
DisruptorАнатолий Злотников
43% · 154 games53% · 143 games
Clockwerkbalod9l
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 58%
Series resultYBN Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2