Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSylar Teamloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
STSomnus Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
533 picks · 326 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 581 bans
Tiny
424 picks · 357 bans
Rubick
423 picks · 227 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 241 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 473 bans
Puck
330 picks · 850 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 828 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Sylar Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 72%
Series resultSomnus Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3