Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSylar Teamwin 3:1
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 3:1
STSomnus Teamloss 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
612 picks · 383 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
498 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 397 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 577 bans
Puck
355 picks · 954 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 888 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Sylar Team
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total72% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 4prediction missed
Sylar Team 28%Somnus Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 72%
Series resultSylar Team 3:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4