BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
T1win 1:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team SMGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 30 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
MidOne · 14 games
Elder Titan
AhFu · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 375 bans
Queen of Pain
479 picks · 574 bans
Mars
446 picks · 615 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 803 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 171 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 547 bans
Wraith King
285 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 37%
Hero pool strength60% Team SMG
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total79% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
T1 79%Team SMG 21%
The model gave 79% on T1 — the game was taken by T1.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 79%
Series resultT1 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1