The International 2022: Last Chance · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 1:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
Snapfire
The Warden · 20 games
Tinysignature
The Warden · 15 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Ark · 11 games
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 11 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Sunlight · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
550 picks · 425 bans
Marci
459 picks · 673 bans
Puck
332 picks · 754 bans
Dawnbreaker
329 picks · 453 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 493 bans
Winter Wyvern
291 picks · 364 bans
Batrider
260 picks · 842 bans
Dazzle
251 picks · 160 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% T1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:16
T1 52%Wildcard Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on T1 — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 50:04.
Game 2prediction missed16:39
T1 52%Wildcard Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on T1 — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 34:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2