Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Российский финал · BO3
result vs predictionTT-Teamloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Derzhawinwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T-Team
No games played over 6 months.
Derzhawin
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
341 picks · 459 bans
Clockwerk
340 picks · 293 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 216 bans
Tusk
323 picks · 448 bans
Enchantress
313 picks · 566 bans
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 461 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 373 bans
Sand King
257 picks · 763 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% T-Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% T-Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
T-Team 64%Derzhawin 36%
The model gave 64% on T-Team — the game was taken by Derzhawin.
Game 2prediction missed
T-Team 64%Derzhawin 36%
The model gave 64% on T-Team — the game was taken by Derzhawin.
Model check result
Model favoriteT-Team · 64%
Series resultDerzhawin 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2