BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
Timbersawsignature
Ws · 13 games
Clockwerk
Kuku · 11 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 11 games
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 10 games
Marcioften banned
Jhocam · 10 games
Dark Willowsignature
Jhocam · 9 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 22 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 20 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 14 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
339 picks · 454 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 232 bans
Clockwerk
320 picks · 273 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 423 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 550 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 461 bans
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
Jakiro
257 picks · 224 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total68% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:24
Talon Esports 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 23:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomFbz
BeastmasterMieRo
Storm SpiritMikoto
Drow RangerPure~
LunaAkashi
Queen of Painkiyotaka
HoodwinkJhocam
Dark WillowSave-
ClockwerkKuku
Naga SirenKataomi
Game 2prediction correct9:28
Talon Esports 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinAkashi
Shadow FiendPure~
Primal BeastFbz
Rikikiyotaka
PuckMikoto
MagnusMieRo
MuertaJhocam
BatriderSave-
EnchantressKuku
Ogre MagiKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 68%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2