BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 1:0series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 1:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Earth Spiritsignature
Yowe · 10 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
23savage · 9 games
Tinysignature
Q · 9 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Oli · 9 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Ponyo · 8 games
Faceless Voidsignature
23savage · 8 games
Rubick
Q · 8 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mikoto · 8 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
251 picks · 425 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
216 picks · 343 bans
Tusk
203 picks · 190 bans
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 274 bans
Dark Willow
201 picks · 97 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:40
Talon Esports 20%G2 Invictus Gaming 80%
The model gave 80% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 1:09:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 80%
Series resultTalon Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1