BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kukuysloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
Razoroften banned
CHYuan · 14 games
Morphlingoften banned
Akashi · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
CHYuan · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Ws · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
Jhocam · 10 games
Crystal Maiden
Ponyo · 9 games
Leshracoften banned
CHYuan · 9 games
Kukuys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
360 picks · 350 bans
Hoodwink
357 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 508 bans
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
289 picks · 258 bans
Windranger
277 picks · 379 bans
Dragon Knight
271 picks · 464 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 71%
Hero pool strength53% Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:30
Talon Esports 59%Kukuys 41%
The model gave 59% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Kukuys in 29:21.
Game 2prediction correct31:13
Talon Esports 59%Kukuys 41%
The model gave 59% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 31:45.
Game 3prediction correct28:31
Talon Esports 59%Kukuys 41%
The model gave 59% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 49:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 59%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3