The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team 123loss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
InterActive Philippineswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team 123
No games played over 6 months.
InterActive Philippines
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Earth Spirit
Nishababy · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 457 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 536 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 210 bans
Terrorblade
336 picks · 604 bans
Storm Spirit
300 picks · 421 bans
Ancient Apparition
289 picks · 626 bans
Tusk
284 picks · 200 bans
Windranger
271 picks · 78 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Team 123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:35
Team 123 46%InterActive Philippines 54%
The model gave 54% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 34:18.
Game 2prediction missed37:18
Team 123 46%InterActive Philippines 54%
The model gave 54% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by Team 123 in 45:16.
Game 3prediction correct13:36
Team 123 46%InterActive Philippines 54%
The model gave 54% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 28:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 54%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3