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The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Tiny
Tiny
BoBoKa · 19 games
53%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 15 games
67%
Marci
Marcisignature
BoBoKa · 13 games
69%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
BoBoKa · 11 games
73%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Fantasy · 9 games
78%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ori · 9 games
56%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fantasy · 8 games
38%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Monet · 8 games
75%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
78%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 8 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 7 games
86%
Lina
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 6 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
gpK~ · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
700 picks · 445 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
594 picks · 548 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
561 picks · 446 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
500 picks · 556 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
390 picks · 384 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
390 picks · 218 bans
44%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
358 picks · 518 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
357 picks · 549 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 69%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:39
Team Aster 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:20:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetXxs
55% · 295 games47% · 112 games
DoomNightfall
Doom
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXwy
59% · 140 games50% · 261 game
TuskgpK~
Tusk
Undying
UndyingFantasy
53% · 260 games39% · 273 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerBoBoKa
55% · 56 games48% · 158 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Naga Siren
Naga SirenMonet
55% · 153 games37% · 100 games
TerrorbladePure~
Terrorblade
Game 2prediction missed16:10
Team Aster 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Aster in 31:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordMonet
43% · 54 games62% · 76 games
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritXwy
43% · 285 games53% · 194 games
MarciPure~
Marci
Magnus
MagnusXxs
50% · 80 games52% · 82 games
TidehunterNightfall
Tidehunter
Phoenix
PhoenixFantasy
48% · 110 games54% · 199 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Enchantress
EnchantressBoBoKa
45% · 196 games53% · 174 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2