i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Elephantloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Aster
Puckoften banned
White丶Album · 22 games
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 20 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
Lionsignature
BoBoKa · 15 games
Treant Protector
LaNm · 15 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 15 games
Axesignature
Xxs · 14 games
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
407 picks · 188 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
294 picks · 597 bans
Puck
282 picks · 619 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 358 bans
Mars
279 picks · 469 bans
Winter Wyvern
269 picks · 235 bans
Lina
250 picks · 356 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 71%
Hero pool strength53% Team Aster
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total55% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:12
Team Aster 55%Elephant 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 30:21.
Game 2prediction correct29:13
Team Aster 55%Elephant 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 43:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 55%
Series resultTeam Aster 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2