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i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterwin 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 21 game
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 20 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
LaNm · 13 games
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 13 games
69%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 12 games
67%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 12 games
42%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 11 games
73%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
406 picks · 1013 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
370 picks · 594 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
350 picks · 356 bans
48%
Lion
Lion
347 picks · 180 bans
47%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
331 picks · 529 bans
48%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
327 picks · 705 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
308 picks · 227 bans
51%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
258 picks · 288 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Team Aster
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total76% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:27
Team Aster 76%Royal Never Give Up 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 1:00:32.
Game 2prediction missed19:26
Team Aster 76%Royal Never Give Up 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 38:17.
Game 3prediction correct36:25
Team Aster 76%Royal Never Give Up 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 48:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 76%
Series resultTeam Aster 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3