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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Puck
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 13 games
62%
Abaddon
Abaddon
LaNm · 12 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
LaNm · 11 games
64%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 11 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 10 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Monet · 9 games
89%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 9 games
78%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xxs · 7 games
43%

Team Liquid

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Taiga · 15 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
miCKe · 14 games
64%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
iNSaNiA · 11 games
55%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
iNSaNiA · 8 games
38%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Boxi · 8 games
63%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 7 games
29%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
iNSaNiA · 6 games
100%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
qojqva · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 983 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
406 picks · 598 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
354 picks · 638 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
318 picks · 272 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
316 picks · 621 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
261 picks · 175 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
256 picks · 423 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
254 picks · 360 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 52%
Hero pool strength57% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:31
Team Aster 57%Team Liquid 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 33:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoMonet
61% · 46 gameslittle data
SpectremiCKe
Spectre
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWhite丶Album
45% · 16 games46% · 33 games
Storm Spiritqojqva
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsXxs
52% · 112 games40% · 54 games
TimbersawBoxi
Timbersaw
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterLaNm
60% · 31 game49% · 69 games
Death ProphetiNSaNiA
Death Prophet
43% · 49 games
TuskTaiga
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct23:14
Team Aster 54%Team Liquid 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeMonet
52% · 28 games45% · 10 games
BristlebackmiCKe
Bristleback
Mars
MarsXxs
47% · 140 games58% · 89 games
Death Prophetqojqva
Death Prophet
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainWhite丶Album
42% · 60 games54% · 52 games
PangolierBoxi
Pangolier
Luna
LunaLaNm
59% · 16 games45% · 44 games
Keeper of the LightiNSaNiA
Keeper of the Light
51% · 49 games
TuskTaiga
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2