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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
avice Teamwin 2:1
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:1
gpK~ Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

avice Team

Techies
Techies
rostikfacekid · 2 games
50%
Arc Warden
Arc Warden
avice · 1 game
100%
Bane
Baneoften banned
ddeni · 1 game
0%
Broodmother
Broodmother
blindzone · 1 game
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ddeni · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
ddeni · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
avice · 1 game
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
rostikfacekid · 1 game
100%

gpK~ Team

Earthshaker
Earthshaker
kiyotaka · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
gpK~ · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Shachlo · 1 game
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Lukawa · 1 game
0%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Zloba · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
488 picks · 294 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
369 picks · 162 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
359 picks · 160 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 481 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
305 picks · 303 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 472 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
290 picks · 273 bans
59%
Undying
Undying
269 picks · 369 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% avice Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% gpK~ Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:20
avice Team 40%gpK~ Team 60%
The model gave 60% on gpK~ Team — the game was taken by avice Team in 35:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightavice
47% · 340 games49% · 191 game
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Slark
SlarkKoma`
54% · 47 games52% · 103 games
Terrorbladekiyotaka
Terrorblade
Kunkka
Kunkkablindzone
47% · 52 games52% · 160 games
SlardarShachlo
Slardar
Techies
Techiesrostikfacekid
54% · 111 games46% · 58 games
Spirit BreakerStint
Spirit Breaker
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernddeni
51% · 86 games47% · 124 games
DisruptorLukawa
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct69:66
avice Team 39%gpK~ Team 61%
The model gave 61% on gpK~ Team — the game was taken by gpK~ Team in 1:27:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painavice
47% · 105 games45% · 113 games
SvengpK~
Sven
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerblindzone
49% · 93 games50% · 119 games
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Earthshaker
Void Spirit
Void SpiritKoma`
53% · 123 games54% · 274 games
UnderlordShachlo
Underlord
Grimstroke
Grimstrokerostikfacekid
37% · 59 games56% · 183 games
LionStint
Lion
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkddeni
55% · 355 games48% · 46 games
Ancient ApparitionLukawa
Ancient Apparition
Game 3prediction missed0:0
avice Team 37%gpK~ Team 63%
The model gave 63% on gpK~ Team — the game was taken by avice Team in 56:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKoma`
50% · 61 game45% · 159 games
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
Storm Spirit
Tinker
Tinkeravice
33% · 13 games58% · 44 games
HuskargpK~
Huskar
Viper
Viperblindzone
55% · 101 game55% · 103 games
LargoShachlo
Largo
Weaver
Weaverrostikfacekid
46% · 65 games43% · 64 games
Skywrath MageStint
Skywrath Mage
Dark Willow
Dark Willowddeni
53% · 134 games38% · 4 games
OracleLukawa
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoritegpK~ Team · 73%
Series resultavice Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3