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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
avice Teamloss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cake Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

avice Team

Techies
Techies
rostikfacekid · 4 games
75%
Broodmother
Broodmother
Koma` · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ddeni · 3 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ddeni · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
avice · 3 games
33%
Bane
Baneoften banned
ddeni · 2 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
blindzone · 2 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Koma` · 2 games
100%

Cake Team

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Cake · 3 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Shishak · 3 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Limitless · 2 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Limitless · 2 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Shishak · 2 games
100%
Magnus
Magnus
Cake · 2 games
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Shishak · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
500 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
393 picks · 168 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
375 picks · 170 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 493 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 310 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
308 picks · 284 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 492 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
277 picks · 358 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% avice Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% avice Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:38
avice Team 52%Cake Team 48%
The model gave 52% on avice Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 30:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
Puckavice
48% · 235 games55% · 82 games
Lone DruidSmiling Knight
Lone Druid
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
53% · 351 game49% · 250 games
AxeLimitless
Axe
Alchemist
AlchemistKoma`
44% · 85 games46% · 276 games
Storm SpiritCake
Storm Spirit
Windranger
Windrangerrostikfacekid
57% · 261 game49% · 304 games
Warlockdabex
Warlock
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magiddeni
51% · 57 games47% · 77 games
Spirit BreakerShishak
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction missed34:42
avice Team 52%Cake Team 48%
The model gave 52% on avice Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 36:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingKoma`
54% · 116 games48% · 123 games
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
Nature's Prophet
Tidehunter
Tidehunterblindzone
51% · 163 games54% · 143 games
BristlebackLimitless
Bristleback
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painavice
47% · 146 games50% · 125 games
ViperCake
Viper
Techies
Techiesrostikfacekid
47% · 150 games53% · 84 games
GrimstrokeShishak
Grimstroke
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenddeni
39% · 35 games52% · 135 games
Banedabex
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteavice Team · 53%
Series resultCake Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2