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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Bald Rebornwin 2:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Winter Bearloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Bald Reborn

Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pablo · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rajjix · 5 games
40%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Excalibur · 5 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Pablo · 4 games
50%
Io
Iooften banned
Eixn · 4 games
25%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Eixn · 4 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Pablo · 3 games
33%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Gorgc · 3 games
67%

Winter Bear

Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Flash · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Exotic Deer · 6 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Ekki · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 4 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
Ekki · 4 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Ekki · 4 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Exotic Deer · 4 games
75%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Exotic Deer · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
468 picks · 311 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
427 picks · 530 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
377 picks · 568 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
368 picks · 512 bans
52%
Kunkka
Kunkka
301 picks · 495 bans
52%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
279 picks · 518 bans
51%
Wraith King
Wraith King
258 picks · 348 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
253 picks · 116 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:9
Team Bald Reborn 51%Winter Bear 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 20:57.
Game 2prediction correct33:14
Team Bald Reborn 51%Winter Bear 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 31:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 51%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2