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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Bocilloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Bocil

Sven
Sven
inYourdreaM · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Varizh · 2 games
50%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
MamangDaya · 2 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
db- · 2 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Xepher · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Varizh · 1 game
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Xepher · 1 game
100%
Omniknight
Omniknight
db- · 1 game
0%

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
403 picks · 653 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 618 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
385 picks · 357 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
380 picks · 311 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
365 picks · 791 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
359 picks · 413 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
354 picks · 355 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
336 picks · 203 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% Team Bocil
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Bocil 20%Blacklist International 80%
The model gave 80% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Bocil 20%Blacklist International 80%
The model gave 80% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 80%
Series resultBlacklist International 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2