Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTBTeam Bocilloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Darlengwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Bocil
No games played over 6 months.
Darleng
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 346 bans
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 322 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 497 bans
Mars
303 picks · 427 bans
Techies
286 picks · 210 bans
Hoodwink
280 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
275 picks · 419 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 497 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Team Bocil
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Darleng
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Bocil 28%Darleng 72%
The model gave 72% on Darleng — the game was taken by Darleng.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Bocil 28%Darleng 72%
The model gave 72% on Darleng — the game was taken by Darleng.
Model check result
Model favoriteDarleng · 72%
Series resultDarleng 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2