BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
Cake Teamloss 0:1series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nix Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cake Team
No games played over 6 months.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
298 picks · 433 bans
Phoenix
272 picks · 409 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Tusk
227 picks · 206 bans
Lion
226 picks · 204 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 635 bans
Vengeful Spirit
222 picks · 114 bans
Pangolier
215 picks · 308 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Cake Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:32
Cake Team 23%Nix Team 77%
The model gave 77% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 56:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 77%
Series resultNix Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1