BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 1:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
5ManMidasloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DogChamp
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Tinysignature
Ryoya · 11 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Alchemistsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
618 picks · 476 bans
Marci
460 picks · 675 bans
Dawnbreaker
389 picks · 554 bans
Puck
382 picks · 835 bans
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 403 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
269 picks · 356 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 31%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total61% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team DogChamp 61%5ManMidas 39%
The model gave 61% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp.
Game 2prediction missed
Team DogChamp 61%5ManMidas 39%
The model gave 61% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by 5ManMidas.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2