BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DogChamp
Bane
Bloody Nine · 16 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 11 games
Tinysignature
Ryoya · 10 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Crystal Maiden
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Alchemistsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
5RATFORCESTAFF
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 8 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 7 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Giant · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
red2 · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
659 picks · 519 bans
Marci
477 picks · 705 bans
Dawnbreaker
441 picks · 611 bans
Puck
435 picks · 896 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
296 picks · 389 bans
Death Prophet
280 picks · 470 bans
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:48
Team DogChamp 54%5RATFORCESTAFF 46%
The model gave 54% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 1:07:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidStoneBank
Phantom Assassindnm
TinkerRCY
Death ProphetSpeeed
Primal BeastITALIANO GANGSTA
Jakiroalbinozebra
Rubickyarintheslayer
EnchantressBloody Nine
Game 2prediction missed27:40
Team DogChamp 54%5RATFORCESTAFF 46%
The model gave 54% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 44:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinkerRCY
Nature's ProphetSpeeed
PudgeStoneBank
Faceless Voiddnm
ViperITALIANO GANGSTA
Jakiroalbinozebra
Primal Beastyarintheslayer
ChenBloody Nine
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2