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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marssignature
lukiluki · 10 games
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
yarintheslayer · 9 games
78%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bloody Nine · 6 games
67%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
67%
Undying
Undying
Bloody Nine · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 4 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
yarintheslayer · 3 games
67%

D2 Hustlers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
396 picks · 1009 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
373 picks · 594 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
358 picks · 185 bans
47%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
351 picks · 362 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
325 picks · 511 bans
48%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
316 picks · 688 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
307 picks · 226 bans
51%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
256 picks · 281 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 83%
Hero pool strength55% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:31
Team DogChamp 33%D2 Hustlers 67%
The model gave 67% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 31:31.
Game 2prediction correct18:38
Team DogChamp 33%D2 Hustlers 67%
The model gave 67% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 39:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 67%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2