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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EgoBoyswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Puck
Puckoften banned
Bloody Nine · 5 games
80%
Rubick
Rubick
yarintheslayer · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 4 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 3 games
100%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
lukiluki · 3 games
0%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Bloody Nine · 3 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
yarintheslayer · 2 games
50%

EgoBoys

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
343 picks · 701 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
324 picks · 408 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
272 picks · 478 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
252 picks · 213 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
230 picks · 340 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
228 picks · 126 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 642 bans
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
214 picks · 443 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 58%
Series resultEgoBoys 0:2
Series predictionmissed