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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empire Hopeloss 1:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CYBER UNIONwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Empire Hope

Pudge
Pudgesignature
krylat · 12 games
75%
Io
Iosignature
antoha · 9 games
78%
Viper
Vipersignature
Mastery · 8 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
pJonn · 6 games
67%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
antoha · 6 games
67%
Dazzle
Dazzle
antoha · 5 games
60%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Mastery · 5 games
60%
Visage
Visageoften banned
pJonn · 5 games
60%

CYBER UNION

Tiny
Tiny
Miyaoo · 12 games
33%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Arti_Shock · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
OneJey · 10 games
20%
Lich
Lich
Arti_Shock · 6 games
17%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 5 games
60%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
OneJey · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
OneJey · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
343 picks · 300 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
278 picks · 252 bans
58%
Marci
Marci
273 picks · 523 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
253 picks · 450 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
237 picks · 504 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
221 picks · 546 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
214 picks · 317 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
203 picks · 116 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Empire Hope
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:21
Team Empire Hope 59%CYBER UNION 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 24:26.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Empire Hope 59%CYBER UNION 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Empire Hope 59%CYBER UNION 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Empire Hope — the game was taken by CYBER UNION.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire Hope · 59%
Series resultCYBER UNION 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3