Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empireloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PuckChampwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Phoenixoften banned
sayuw · 2 games
Tusk
sayuw · 2 games
Viperoften banned
Petushara · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
EcNart · 1 game
Chaos Knight
Petushara · 1 game
Chen
EcNart · 1 game
Clockwerk
sayuw · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Smiling Knight · 1 game
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
64 picks · 145 bans
Puck
57 picks · 154 bans
Earth Spirit
54 picks · 41 bans
Void Spirit
48 picks · 92 bans
Phoenix
43 picks · 54 bans
Rubick
43 picks · 21 bans
Undying
43 picks · 64 bans
Monkey King
41 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 75%
Hero pool strength58% Team Empire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 58%
Series resultPuckChamp 0:2
Series predictioncorrect