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Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empirewin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
sQreen's Squadloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Empire

Mars
Marsoften banned
DkFogas · 19 games
37%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
[T]SA · 18 games
39%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 17 games
29%
Tiny
Tiny
xannii · 17 games
47%
Bane
Bane
633 · 16 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 14 games
43%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Antares · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 9 games
22%

sQreen's Squad

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sQreen · 2 games
0%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
sQreen · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
sQreen · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Copy · 2 games
0%
Tusk
Tusk
sQreen · 2 games
0%
Axe
Axe
Wuiter · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
507 picks · 451 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
487 picks · 700 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
453 picks · 291 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
442 picks · 535 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
392 picks · 547 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
390 picks · 630 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 620 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
359 picks · 750 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 41%
Hero pool strength50% sQreen's Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Empire 53%sQreen's Squad 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Empire 53%sQreen's Squad 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Empire — the game was taken by Team Empire.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 53%
Series resultTeam Empire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2