?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empireloss 1:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
V-Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Empire

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
sayuw · 27 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ghostik · 26 games
42%
Lina
Linaoften banned
kiyotaka · 23 games
52%
Bane
Bane
Kaori · 21 game
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
lightless · 18 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
lightless · 17 games
65%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Kaori · 16 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Shisui · 15 games
40%

V-Gaming

Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 36 games
61%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 31 game
61%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 26 games
65%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 24 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Malady · 21 game
62%
Weaver
Weaversignature
ArrOw · 21 game
67%
Mars
Marssignature
laise · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 545 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
343 picks · 260 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
338 picks · 206 bans
46%
Weaver
Weaver
323 picks · 711 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
253 picks · 750 bans
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
244 picks · 384 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
240 picks · 152 bans
52%
Io
Io
234 picks · 560 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% V-Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total77% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct50:47
Team Empire 32%V-Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 1:01:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekerlightless
47% · 139 games59% · 280 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Doom
DoomIceberg
43% · 95 games57% · 94 games
RazorTA2000
Razor
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerGhostik
39% · 90 games53% · 70 games
Night Stalkerlaise
Night Stalker
Clockwerk
Clockwerk[T]SA
46% · 146 games54% · 143 games
MiranaArrOw
Mirana
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeKaori
45% · 226 games55% · 109 games
Baneantoha
Bane
Game 2prediction missed29:24
Team Empire 34%V-Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by Team Empire in 28:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinlightless
42% · 96 games50% · 117 games
Queen of PainhAze
Queen of Pain
Puck
PuckIceberg
47% · 256 games57% · 211 games
Wraith KingTA2000
Wraith King
Slardar
SlardarGhostik
61% · 55 games43% · 69 games
Night Stalkerlaise
Night Stalker
Weaver
WeaverKaori
57% · 185 games49% · 264 games
SnapfireArrOw
Snapfire
Grimstroke
Grimstroke[T]SA
41% · 209 games55% · 140 games
Disruptorantoha
Disruptor
Game 3prediction correct22:38
Team Empire 33%V-Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 43:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladelightless
55% · 115 games43% · 114 games
RazorTA2000
Razor
Invoker
InvokerIceberg
46% · 139 games43% · 105 games
Queen of PainhAze
Queen of Pain
Timbersaw
TimbersawGhostik
48% · 106 games54% · 116 games
Sand Kinglaise
Sand King
Disruptor
DisruptorKaori
52% · 149 games50% · 163 games
WeaverArrOw
Weaver
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker[T]SA
55% · 79 games56% · 90 games
Treant Protectorantoha
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 77%
Series resultV-Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3