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DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Essencewin 1:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Essence

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
NARMAN · 3 games
67%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Armel · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Raven · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Ponyo · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Raven · 2 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Raven · 1 game
0%

InterActive Philippines

Lina
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
514 picks · 711 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
423 picks · 312 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 636 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
376 picks · 865 bans
58%
Magnus
Magnus
376 picks · 997 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 504 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Team Essence
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Team Essence
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Essence 66%InterActive Philippines 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Essence — the game was taken by Team Essence.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Essence · 66%
Series resultTeam Essence 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1