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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Evasionloss 0:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
V1dar Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Evasion

No games played over 6 months.

V1dar Gaming

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 5 games
60%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
dizzying · 4 games
25%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkka
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Egor · 3 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Groom · 3 games
0%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
365 picks · 351 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 517 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
278 picks · 478 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 350 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 30%
Hero pool strength56% Team Evasion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Evasion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Evasion 59%V1dar Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Evasion — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Evasion · 59%
Series resultV1dar Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1