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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 42 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 41 game
66%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 40 games
88%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 37 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 35 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 26 games
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 25 games
60%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
73%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 28 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
78%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
527 picks · 780 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 596 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
495 picks · 532 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
479 picks · 597 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
458 picks · 389 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
437 picks · 992 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
430 picks · 791 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
389 picks · 899 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% Team Falcons
Head-to-head11 – 3
Model total54% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:38
Team Falcons 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkSkiter
45% · 29 games55% · 67 games
BloodseekerPure~
Bloodseeker
Pangolier
PangolierATF
49% · 178 games59% · 66 games
EarthshakergpK~
Earthshaker
Huskar
HuskarMalr1ne
59% · 10 games58% · 53 games
Bounty HunterSave-
Bounty Hunter
Zeus
ZeusSneyking
42% · 72 games38% · 42 games
AbaddonMieRo
Abaddon
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
43% · 36 games58% · 97 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Game 2prediction correct33:16
Team Falcons 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 43:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSkiter
47% · 113 games48% · 60 games
BloodseekerPure~
Bloodseeker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
53% · 237 games51% · 211 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Viper
ViperATF
56% · 44 games53% · 126 games
Sand KingMieRo
Sand King
Warlock
WarlockSneyking
54% · 62 games44% · 300 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
50% · 335 games49% · 94 games
ZeusKataomi
Zeus
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2