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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 55 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 46 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Sneyking · 36 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 36 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 33 games
88%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 32 games
59%
Muerta
Muerta
Cr1t- · 31 game
58%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 28 games
71%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 43 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 27 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
567 picks · 795 bans
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
429 picks · 824 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
426 picks · 281 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
400 picks · 614 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
397 picks · 843 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 492 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
369 picks · 310 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
368 picks · 889 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head9 – 4
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:20
Team Falcons 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistSkiter
46% · 101 game40% · 20 games
Wraith KingPure~
Wraith King
Tidehunter
TidehunterATF
47% · 99 games47% · 273 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
46% · 183 games44% · 86 games
SnipergpK~
Sniper
Muerta
MuertaCr1t-
45% · 186 games61% · 155 games
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionSneyking
57% · 62 games58% · 97 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Game 2prediction correct17:23
Team Falcons 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
50% · 117 games49% · 217 games
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterQuinn
50% · 140 games50% · 52 games
HuskargpK~
Huskar
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSkiter
48% · 187 games43% · 144 games
KunkkaMieRo
Kunkka
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCr1t-
48% · 73 games51% · 92 games
TinkerKataomi
Tinker
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
69% · 58 games51% · 70 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2