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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ATF · 31 game
52%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 27 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Sneyking · 21 game
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 20 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Malr1ne · 19 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Sneyking · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
68%

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
65%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
69%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
59%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 27 games
81%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 26 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
359 picks · 255 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
319 picks · 701 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 282 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
283 picks · 149 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
281 picks · 751 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
260 picks · 606 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
255 picks · 521 bans
58%
Marci
Marci
244 picks · 500 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 6
Model total58% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:16
Team Falcons 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSkiter
52% · 187 games56% · 100 games
LifestealerPure~
Lifestealer
Mars
MarsATF
45% · 176 games45% · 269 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Sand King
Sand KingMalr1ne
45% · 200 games54% · 306 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
49% · 183 games43% · 146 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
52% · 173 games59% · 98 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Game 2prediction correct27:8
Team Falcons 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 30:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSkiter
36% · 92 games51% · 222 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Huskar
HuskarATF
50% · 45 games50% · 18 games
Anti-MagePure~
Anti-Mage
Sand King
Sand KingMalr1ne
52% · 178 games52% · 243 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
53% · 162 games51% · 135 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCr1t-
50% · 209 games53% · 68 games
DisruptorKataomi
Disruptor
Game 3prediction correct20:5
Team Falcons 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 37:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordSkiter
49% · 39 games45% · 277 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMalr1ne
51% · 396 games46% · 188 games
Dragon KnightPure~
Dragon Knight
Mars
MarsATF
44% · 199 games65% · 174 games
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Chen
ChenSneyking
57% · 150 games46% · 131 game
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Snapfire
SnapfireCr1t-
45% · 124 games51% · 138 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 58%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3