BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 25 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 23 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 23 games
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 347 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 365 bans
Pangolier
379 picks · 523 bans
Puck
326 picks · 860 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total61% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:41
Team Falcons 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PangolierMalr1ne
KezKiritych
WindrangerSkiter
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
ViperATF
PuckgpK~
ChenSneyking
MiranaSave-
LionCr1t-
BaneKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1