Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
Marsoften banned
ATF · 24 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
Razor
ATF · 22 games
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 21 game
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 33 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 31 game
Jakiro
Kataomi · 27 games
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 26 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 25 games
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 434 bans
Rubick
558 picks · 326 bans
Pangolier
416 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 366 bans
Phoenix
390 picks · 443 bans
Storm Spirit
325 picks · 371 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 483 bans
Windranger
309 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 4
Model total50% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:30
Team Falcons 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosATF
BeastmasterMieRo
WeaverSkiter
MuertaKiritych
Ember SpiritMalr1ne
Earth SpiritgpK~
ClockwerkCr1t-
Keeper of the LightSave-
RingmasterSneyking
BaneKataomi
Game 2prediction missed33:22
Team Falcons 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 40:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TimbersawATF
WindrangerKiritych
SnapfireMalr1ne
Earth SpiritgpK~
ClinkzSkiter
LargoMieRo
Treant ProtectorSneyking
BatriderSave-
ClockwerkCr1t-
TuskKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2