DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Marssignature
ATF · 27 games
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 19 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 18 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Malr1ne · 17 games
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 17 games
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
365 picks · 320 bans
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 313 bans
Centaur Warrunner
325 picks · 479 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 384 bans
Mars
257 picks · 342 bans
Techies
256 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
255 picks · 142 bans
Magnus
249 picks · 466 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 60%
Hero pool strength65% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:28
Team Falcons 56%G2 Invictus Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 47:14.
Game 2prediction correct28:14
Team Falcons 56%G2 Invictus Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2