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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GamerLegionwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 35 games
74%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 34 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
58%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
79%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 24 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 22 games
77%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 22 games
68%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 22 games
73%

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 12 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
22%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 8 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
591 picks · 925 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
540 picks · 415 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 638 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
493 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
430 picks · 937 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 647 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 528 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
376 picks · 231 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 54%
Hero pool strength59% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:30
Team Falcons 84%GamerLegion 16%
The model gave 84% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 42:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSkiter
50% · 323 games53% · 567 games
Storm SpiritRCY
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMalr1ne
52% · 353 games53% · 97 games
ViperYamSun
Viper
Pangolier
PangolierATF
45% · 436 games54% · 507 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
54% · 261 game48% · 588 games
WarlockSpeeed
Warlock
Jakiro
JakiroSneyking
47% · 604 games45% · 218 games
Dark WillowBignum
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 96%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1