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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
GamerLegionloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 38 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 37 games
68%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 32 games
72%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 30 games
77%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 29 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 25 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%

GamerLegion

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 18 games
56%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
59%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 15 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 14 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 13 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 11 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
RCY · 11 games
64%
Viper
Viperoften banned
RCY · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
627 picks · 973 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
515 picks · 435 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
461 picks · 627 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 1007 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 477 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
430 picks · 261 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 510 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
403 picks · 561 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 47%
Hero pool strength59% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:31
Team Falcons 56%GamerLegion 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 30:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSkiter
59% · 169 games51% · 229 games
PuckRCY
Puck
Lina
LinaMalr1ne
53% · 57 games48% · 38 games
ViperYamSun
Viper
Kunkka
KunkkaATF
48% · 154 games43% · 80 games
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCr1t-
52% · 314 games49% · 102 games
PhoenixSpeeed
Phoenix
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
47% · 69 games46% · 314 games
TuskBignum
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct34:14
Team Falcons 56%GamerLegion 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 41:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawATF
50% · 217 games48% · 123 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Puck
PuckMalr1ne
54% · 399 games44% · 477 games
Dragon KnightYamSun
Dragon Knight
Bristleback
BristlebackSkiter
49% · 190 games45% · 268 games
SlardarFayde
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
50% · 388 games56% · 215 games
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSneyking
52% · 201 game52% · 312 games
Shadow DemonBignum
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2