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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:1
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegionloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 36 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 31 game
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 22 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 21 game
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Sneyking · 21 game
62%
Razor
Razor
ATF · 21 game
48%

GamerLegion

Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 19 games
53%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 18 games
78%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 16 games
38%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Speeed · 16 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 16 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 15 games
33%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
504 picks · 351 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 423 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
344 picks · 615 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 471 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 597 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 341 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
302 picks · 166 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 215 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total88% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:27
Team Falcons 74%GamerLegion 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 1:03:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierATF
54% · 410 games49% · 82 games
Faceless VoidGhost
Faceless Void
Clinkz
ClinkzSkiter
58% · 143 games45% · 151 game
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Lina
LinaMalr1ne
58% · 55 games49% · 310 games
BeastmasterFayde
Beastmaster
Phoenix
PhoenixSneyking
49% · 348 games49% · 305 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
50% · 261 game44% · 369 games
TuskBignum
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed20:33
Team Falcons 75%GamerLegion 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 47:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerSkiter
56% · 95 games52% · 319 games
Centaur WarrunnerRCY
Centaur Warrunner
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
53% · 129 games41% · 41 game
Drow RangerGhost
Drow Ranger
Mars
MarsATF
49% · 288 games50% · 194 games
SlardarFayde
Slardar
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
51% · 156 games50% · 116 games
UndyingSpeeed
Undying
Mirana
MiranaCr1t-
58% · 120 games39% · 118 games
Dark WillowBignum
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct31:12
Team Falcons 76%GamerLegion 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 41:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomATF
48% · 229 games69% · 17 games
Phantom LancerGhost
Phantom Lancer
Clinkz
ClinkzSkiter
51% · 94 games45% · 140 games
Void SpiritRCY
Void Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
47% · 121 game49% · 201 game
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Undying
UndyingSneyking
49% · 180 games58% · 91 game
Winter WyvernSpeeed
Winter Wyvern
Lion
LionCr1t-
51% · 163 games47% · 338 games
HoodwinkBignum
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 88%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3