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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Heroicwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 39 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 34 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 29 games
97%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 27 games
74%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 23 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 22 games
64%

Heroic

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 29 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 26 games
69%
Lion
Lionsignature
Scofield · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Scofield · 17 games
71%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
4nalog · 16 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 16 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 16 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
477 picks · 419 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
437 picks · 535 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
436 picks · 566 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
436 picks · 231 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
431 picks · 508 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
423 picks · 753 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
371 picks · 586 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
368 picks · 420 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 48%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total82% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:35
Team Falcons 65%Heroic 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:00:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanSkiter
50% · 56 games57% · 175 games
Monkey KingYuma
Monkey King
Pangolier
PangolierATF
42% · 384 games55% · 82 games
Earthshaker4nalog
Earthshaker
Invoker
InvokerMalr1ne
51% · 194 games52% · 66 games
TidehunterWisper
Tidehunter
Zeus
ZeusSneyking
46% · 87 games52% · 302 games
PhoenixKJ
Phoenix
Muerta
MuertaCr1t-
46% · 250 games50% · 346 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 82%
Series resultHeroic 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1