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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 52 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 30 games
73%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 29 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 26 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 26 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
ATF · 23 games
83%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 23 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 23 games
78%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 23 games
52%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 21 game
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 21 game
71%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 464 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
332 picks · 285 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
314 picks · 440 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
309 picks · 563 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 385 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
258 picks · 774 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total89% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:10
Team Falcons 74%nouns 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenSkiter
47% · 119 games48% · 188 games
MorphlingYuma
Morphling
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
43% · 26 games50% · 42 games
DawnbreakerGunnar
Dawnbreaker
Lina
LinaMalr1ne
46% · 52 games65% · 113 games
Storm SpiritCopy
Storm Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
50% · 153 games38% · 11 games
Bounty HunterLelis
Bounty Hunter
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
43% · 24 games45% · 20 games
Witch DoctorFly
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct24:5
Team Falcons 75%nouns 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 28:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawATF
54% · 164 games39% · 133 games
RazorCopy
Razor
Sand King
Sand KingMalr1ne
53% · 94 games55% · 94 games
Shadow FiendYuma
Shadow Fiend
Slark
SlarkSkiter
56% · 40 games51% · 134 games
MagnusGunnar
Magnus
Batrider
BatriderCr1t-
48% · 221 game53% · 70 games
OmniknightFly
Omniknight
Pugna
PugnaSneyking
57% · 103 games40% · 191 game
TuskLelis
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 89%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2