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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 29 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 27 games
67%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 25 games
64%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
52%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 22 games
59%

OG

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 16 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
Yopaj · 16 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Tims · 16 games
44%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 15 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 15 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Natsumi · 15 games
60%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
546 picks · 337 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
442 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
425 picks · 352 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 499 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
322 picks · 844 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
318 picks · 216 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
314 picks · 801 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 21%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total80% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:10
Team Falcons 68%OG 32%
The model gave 68% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 39:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperMalr1ne
51% · 47 games51% · 116 games
MuertaNatsumi
Muerta
Necrophos
NecrophosSkiter
36% · 31 game49% · 153 games
TimbersawTORONTOTOKYO
Timbersaw
Pangolier
PangolierATF
42% · 318 games49% · 149 games
Monkey KingYopaj
Monkey King
Chen
ChenSneyking
53% · 140 games59% · 71 game
Keeper of the LightTims
Keeper of the Light
Lion
LionCr1t-
52% · 93 games52% · 140 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 80%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1