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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 40 games
68%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 36 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 34 games
94%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 30 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 28 games
71%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 19 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 16 games
81%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
475 picks · 406 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
461 picks · 565 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
445 picks · 550 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
427 picks · 535 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 777 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 452 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
406 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
397 picks · 856 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total60% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:16
Team Falcons 56%PARIVISION 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 49:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerSkiter
53% · 185 games52% · 316 games
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
45% · 494 games52% · 231 game
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerATF
52% · 297 games47% · 335 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
48% · 361 game49% · 346 games
Crystal MaidenDukalis
Crystal Maiden
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterCr1t-
47% · 39 games53% · 148 games
Marci9Class
Marci
Game 2prediction correct36:24
Team Falcons 54%PARIVISION 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 49:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkiter
51% · 457 games44% · 377 games
TinyNo[o]ne
Tiny
Doom
DoomATF
47% · 302 games46% · 49 games
SlarkSatanic
Slark
Magnus
MagnusMalr1ne
53% · 263 games47% · 257 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterCr1t-
57% · 34 games51% · 349 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Omniknight
OmniknightSneyking
56% · 65 games53% · 89 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 60%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2