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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 15 games
80%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 12 games
83%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 11 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 11 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 10 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 10 games
80%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 9 games
89%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Malr1ne · 9 games
67%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubick
OmaR · 30 games
53%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
TA2000 · 16 games
63%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 15 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Kaori · 14 games
57%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 14 games
57%
Mirana
Miranasignature
OmaR · 12 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
No!ob · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
270 picks · 445 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
245 picks · 389 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
240 picks · 323 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
215 picks · 204 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
193 picks · 486 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 42%
Hero pool strength59% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:20
Team Falcons 56%PSG Quest 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSkiter
49% · 81 game44% · 29 games
AbaddonTA2000
Abaddon
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMalr1ne
55% · 86 games52% · 130 games
TimbersawMalik
Timbersaw
Slardar
SlardarATF
48% · 15 games56% · 41 game
EarthshakerNo!ob
Earthshaker
Snapfire
SnapfireCr1t-
52% · 205 games47% · 142 games
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSneyking
34% · 9 games44% · 54 games
LionOmaR
Lion
Game 2prediction correct28:19
Team Falcons 54%PSG Quest 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 38:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomATF
48% · 294 games56% · 328 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Lifestealer
LifestealerSkiter
53% · 92 games48% · 75 games
SvenTA2000
Sven
Tiny
TinyMalr1ne
50% · 357 games47% · 263 games
Primal BeastMalik
Primal Beast
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
43% · 134 games53% · 281 game
Nature's ProphetKaori
Nature's Prophet
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
49% · 161 game52% · 91 game
LionOmaR
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 60%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2