BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Liquidwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Chensignature
Sneyking · 36 games
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 36 games
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 25 games
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 23 games
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
Marssignature
ATF · 23 games
Team Liquid
Tusk
Boxi · 30 games
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 17 games
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
600 picks · 936 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 428 bans
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 643 bans
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 652 bans
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 946 bans
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 654 bans
Mars
388 picks · 527 bans
Warlock
379 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 58%
Hero pool strength58% Team Falcons
Head-to-head8 – 1
Model total69% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:36
Team Falcons 62%Team Liquid 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:03:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sand KingMalr1ne
LeshracNisha
SvenSkiter
BristlebackmiCKe
SlardarATF
MarsAce
RingmasterSneyking
Winter WyverntOfu
LargoCr1t-
TinyBoxi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 69%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1