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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 36 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 36 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Sneyking · 26 games
58%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
76%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 24 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 24 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 24 games
71%

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 31 game
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 29 games
76%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
612 picks · 945 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
538 picks · 438 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
489 picks · 643 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
484 picks · 645 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 964 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
400 picks · 660 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 541 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
386 picks · 236 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total62% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:53
Team Falcons 58%Team Yandex 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:02:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzSkiter
55% · 80 games49% · 312 games
UrsaWatson
Ursa
Mars
MarsATF
48% · 339 games51% · 578 games
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
Ember Spirit
Tiny
TinyMalr1ne
50% · 593 games47% · 591 game
WarlockMalady
Warlock
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
52% · 394 games51% · 264 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Jakiro
JakiroSneyking
48% · 645 games50% · 306 games
MuertaSaksa
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 62%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1