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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Yandexloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 30 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 28 games
68%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
60%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Sneyking · 24 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 23 games
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
73%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 33 games
73%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 25 games
64%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 22 games
77%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
554 picks · 343 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
474 picks · 565 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
447 picks · 235 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
427 picks · 356 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 513 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 850 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
315 picks · 795 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total57% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:24
Team Falcons 53%Team Yandex 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinySkiter
49% · 313 games57% · 192 games
KezWatson
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireMalr1ne
49% · 184 games48% · 342 games
PangolierDM
Pangolier
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderATF
37% · 15 games55% · 33 games
ZeusChira JUNIOR
Zeus
Phoenix
PhoenixSneyking
49% · 251 game58% · 253 games
WindrangerSaksa
Windranger
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
45% · 125 games45% · 68 games
LichMalady
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 57%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1