BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 0:1series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Falcons
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 30 games
Chensignature
Sneyking · 27 games
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 25 games
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
Weaversignature
Skiter · 19 games
Marssignature
ATF · 18 games
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 16 games
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 31 game
Puckoften banned
Emo · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 19 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 16 games
Bane
Oli · 15 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 15 games
Jakiro
Poloson · 14 games
Anti-Magesignature
flyfly · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
773 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
588 picks · 599 bans
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
Tusk
456 picks · 275 bans
Dragon Knight
455 picks · 534 bans
Jakiro
449 picks · 279 bans
Mars
448 picks · 737 bans
Puck
430 picks · 1124 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 43%
Hero pool strength62% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total96% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:28
Team Falcons 86%Yakult Brothers 14%
The model gave 86% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 35:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaSkiter
Templar Assassinflyfly
Centaur WarrunnerATF
Axezeal
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
Void SpiritEmo
ZeusCr1t-
Naga Siren天命
JakiroSneyking
BatriderBoBoKa
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 96%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1