Friday Fight · BO3
result vs prediction
Team FISSUREwin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BetBoom staffloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team FISSURE
No games played over 6 months.
BetBoom staff
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
504 picks · 689 bans
Phoenix
496 picks · 797 bans
Clockwerk
479 picks · 477 bans
Batrider
448 picks · 544 bans
Muerta
430 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
421 picks · 1005 bans
Bristleback
395 picks · 914 bans
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 761 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Team FISSURE
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% BetBoom staff
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:46
Team FISSURE 49%BetBoom staff 51%
The model gave 51% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by Team FISSURE in 1:04:10.
Game 2prediction correct36:41
Team FISSURE 49%BetBoom staff 51%
The model gave 51% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by BetBoom staff in 33:04.
Game 3prediction missed40:1
Team FISSURE 49%BetBoom staff 51%
The model gave 51% on BetBoom staff — the game was taken by Team FISSURE in 22:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetBoom staff · 51%
Series resultTeam FISSURE 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3